Posts Tagged ‘Constituency profile’

Think national: vote local?

Think national: vote local?

The results are now in, but what do they tell us about how local factors impacted on the election? Three constituencies in particular highlight some very particular local factors

Have a Go Hero

Have a Go Hero

OK, what the hell. Here are my predictions on where there are probable results and where the action still is. Bound to get half of these wrong, but it’s better to have tried and failed… LABOUR WILL HOLD 1. Ogmore 2. Bridgend 3. Swansea East 4. Aberavon 5. Neath 6. Clwyd South 7. Wrexham 8. [...]

Speculation, idle and otherwise

Speculation, idle and otherwise

CARDS on the table time, then. There’s only so long an old knave like me can keep his cards to his chest. Time to stop being a joker and play the king. I know vast swathes of electors have yet to make up their minds. I know there’s still all to play for. I know [...]

The Hoarse Whisperers

The Hoarse Whisperers

IT ALWAYS happens in the last few days of battle, when you start to hear the whisperers getting closer, their voices hoarse from yelling into megaphones or harassing poor voters. Yet their whispers are always intriguing. They tell of what their party is doing, how troops are being moved and tactics are being changed. But [...]

More fun with maps

One more bit of internet-based psephology to muck around with

2010 Constituency Profile: Torfaen

2010 Constituency Profile: Torfaen

A solidly safe Labour seat. This loyalty is unlikely to waiver at the forthcoming General Election

Constituency Profile 2010: Blaenau Gwent

Constituency Profile 2010: Blaenau Gwent

An erstwhile solidly safe Labour seat that was gained by Independent candidates at the last Assembly and Westminster by-election. Could Blaenau Gwent be one of the few constituencies in the UK that Labour wins back?

2010 Constituency Profile: Islwyn

2010 Constituency Profile: Islwyn

A solidly safe Labour seat, but could Labour rebels prove problematic for Don Touhig’s replacement?

2010 Constituency Profile: Clwyd West

2010 Constituency Profile: Clwyd West

Currently the only Conservative seat in north Wales and the incumbent David Jones has a majority of only 133, however his majority will increase after May

2010 Constituency Profile: Vale of Clwyd

2010 Constituency Profile: Vale of Clwyd

A tight election result can be expected here between Labour and the Conservatives, but the David Cameron needs to win constituencies like the Vale of Clwyd in order to become the Prime Minister after May 6th

2010 Constituency Profile: Clwyd South

2010 Constituency Profile: Clwyd South

There will be a new MP here in a few weeks – but will it be Labour or the Conservatives who take the seat?

2010 Constituency Profile: Brecon and Radnorshire

2010 Constituency Profile: Brecon and Radnorshire

A medium range Conservative target, Brecon and Radnorshire needs to be won by them if they stand a realistic chance of forming the government